#259 Hedge Fund Telemetry's Thomas Thornton On The Biggest Macro Risk That Could Trigger Panic Buttons

Listen to this episode from The Julia La Roche Show on Spotify. Tommy Thornton, founder and president of Hedge Fund Telemetry, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the volatile market conditions of 2025 . He examines bond market risks, highlighting concerns about rising treasury yields and potential systemic impacts if rates break key levels. Thornton analyzes tariffs, the Fed, tax cuts, the national debt, and the probability of a recession. Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.hedgefundtelemetry.com/https://www.x.com/tommythornton Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction and welcome1:44 - Market volatility conditions in 20253:51 - Comparing Trump 1.0 vs 2.0 economic challenges6:16 - Bond market risks and treasury yields8:40 - Tariffs impact on retailers and consumers10:46 - Federal Reserve's stance and labor market focus14:54 - Potential spillover effects from bond to equity markets18:22 - Technical analysis deep dive with charts24:53 - Overbought market conditions indicators27:40 - Wave analysis and market pattern predictions35:26 - Gold market analysis and trading approach43:34 - Recession outlook and economic projections46:31 - Stagflation risks and Fed response49:07 - Tax cut challenges in current deficit environment54:55 - Closing thoughts and investment advice