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Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI

We aren’t convinced by any of the arguments we’ve seen to expect large discontinuity in AI progress above the extremely low base rate for all technologies. However this topic is controversial, and many thinkers on the topic disagree with us, so we consider this an open question. Details Definitions We say a technological discontinuity has...



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Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI

https://aiimpacts.org/likelihood-of-discontinuous-progress-around-the-development-of-agi

We aren’t convinced by any of the arguments we’ve seen to expect large discontinuity in AI progress above the extremely low base rate for all technologies. However this topic is controversial, and many thinkers on the topic disagree with us, so we consider this an open question. Details Definitions We say a technological discontinuity has...



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https://aiimpacts.org/likelihood-of-discontinuous-progress-around-the-development-of-agi

Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI

We aren’t convinced by any of the arguments we’ve seen to expect large discontinuity in AI progress above the extremely low base rate for all technologies. However this topic is controversial, and many thinkers on the topic disagree with us, so we consider this an open question. Details Definitions We say a technological discontinuity has...

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      We aren’t convinced by any of the arguments we’ve seen to expect large discontinuity in AI progress above the extremely low base rate for all technologies. However this topic is controversial, and many thinkers on the topic disagree with us, so we consider this an open question. Details Definitions We say a technological discontinuity has...
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